American Express Company (AXP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AXP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 9.30%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.18.   Maximum drawdown: -38.00% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 151.07%. Time in market: 768 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2351.51 on 29 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for American Express

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.30%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.30%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

American Express Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.816 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 294.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.915 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 332.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.992 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 235.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.957 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 287.52 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.873 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 142.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.825 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 154.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 May 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.684 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 151.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.991 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 136.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.939 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 145.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.982 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 154.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 November 2021   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.876 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 160.96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 October 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.602 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 91.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2020   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.674 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 113.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 September 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.652 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 115.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 December 2018   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.961 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 96.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2018   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.944 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 90.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 June 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.914 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 54.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for American Express Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: AXP) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:55. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Apr 2026.