A.O. Smith Corp (AOS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AOS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.02%.   Win rate: 87.50%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.093.   Maximum drawdown: -36.59% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 130.13%. Time in market: 1206 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1441.32 on 07 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for A.O. Smith Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 24 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.50% * 8.68%) + (0% * 0%) - (12.50% * 4.57%) = 7.02%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

A.O. Smith Corp Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.925 52 Week Low $ 61.18 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 April 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.985 52 Week Low $ 64.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.985 52 Week Low $ 66.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.943 52 Week Low $ 71.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.75 52 Week Low $ 73.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.918 52 Week Low $ 52.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.99 52 Week Low $ 56.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.937 52 Week Low $ 61.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2020   HIGH     smart_toy0.923 52 Week Low $ 39.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2019   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.98 52 Week Low $ 39.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2018   HIGH     smart_toy0.963 52 Week Low $ 41.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2018   HIGH     smart_toy0.967 52 Week Low $ 41.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2018   HIGH     smart_toy0.946 52 Week Low $ 54.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for A.O. Smith Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: AOS) was last updated 05 May 2026 03:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 01 May 2026.