WD-40 Company (WDFC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to WDFC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Expectancy: 6.19%.   Win rate: 93.75%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.202.   Maximum drawdown: 23.52% on 24 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 127.7%. Time in market: 1654 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2062.10 on 16 June 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for WD-40 Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 25 February 2024 for a 5% profit target: (93.75% * 6.60%) + (6.25% * 0.03%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.19%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

WD-40 Company Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
09 January 2026 bubble_chart $ 186.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
18 October 2024 bubble_chart $ 250.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 April 2024 bubble_chart $ 240.24 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 June 2023 bubble_chart $ 191.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2022 bubble_chart $ 180.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
26 August 2022 bubble_chart $ 196.28 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 July 2022 bubble_chart $ 177.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 October 2021 bubble_chart $ 209.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 January 2021 bubble_chart $ 291.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
30 October 2020 bubble_chart $ 248.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 March 2020 bubble_chart $ 183.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2019 bubble_chart $ 161.49 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2019 bubble_chart $ 171.50 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 October 2018 bubble_chart $ 154.27 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 April 2017 $ 97.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 January 2017 $ 102.48 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 November 2016 $ 104.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 September 2016 $ 110.61 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 April 2016 $ 98.05 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for WD-40 Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: WDFC) was last updated 04 Mar 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 03 Mar 2026.