Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc (VRTX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to VRTX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.49%.   Win rate: 94.44%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.415.   Maximum drawdown: -31.87% on 05 October 2021.
Mean CAGR: 173.78%. Time in market: 1737 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $3178.80 on 14 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Vertex Pharmaceuticals

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (94.44% * 8.99%) + (5.56% * 0.11%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.49%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Vertex Pharmaceuticals Analysis

Market sector: Energy.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
07 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW     smart_toy0.85 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 433.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 August 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.777 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 391.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.985 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 429.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
19 November 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.93 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 455.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.543 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 462.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.691 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 398.74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.742 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 346.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.802 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 286.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.571 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 186.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 June 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.621 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 193.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 February 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.79 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 211.70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 October 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.723 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 221.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
08 September 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.594 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 260.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH     smart_toy0.969 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 205.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 April 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.678 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 173.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   HIGH     smart_toy0.941 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 153.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.84 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 169.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 June 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.676 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 147.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.617 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 140.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.778 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 144.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.874 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 74.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 October 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.369 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 83.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 March 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.609 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 80.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: VRTX) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:53. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 Apr 2026.