UFP Industries Inc (UFPI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to UFPI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.11%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 15.681.   Maximum drawdown: -10.64% on 26 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 255.59%. Time in market: 252 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1494.91 on 04 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for UFP Industries

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 10 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.11%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.11%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

UFP Industries Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
04 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.634   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 82.52 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 June 2025   LOW   smart_toy0.804   Super Oversold (26) $ 95.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 98.91 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule
29 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.962   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 100.17 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box schedule
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.958   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 70.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.986   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 65.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.867   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 66.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.988   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 34.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.991   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 24.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.991   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 24.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.964   Super Oversold (MD) $ 25.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.964   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 25.53 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
26 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.732   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 27.39 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 August 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.763   Super Oversold (26) $ 25.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for UFP Industries Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: UFPI) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 15 May 2026.