MercadoLibre Inc (MELI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MELI's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 10.19%.   Win rate: 95.45%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.704.   Maximum drawdown: -57.50% on 16 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 215.45%. Time in market: 1375 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $5070.55 on 06 May 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for MercadoLibre

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 22 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (95.45% * 10.72%) + (0% * 0%) - (4.55% * 0.91%) = 10.19%.
Wins: 21 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

MercadoLibre Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.838 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1609.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.744 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1929.90 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.887 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1929.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
13 November 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.466 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 2057.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
01 October 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.511 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 2260.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 December 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.792 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1767.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 April 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.68 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1407.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 March 2024   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.638 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1529.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 June 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.966 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1188.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.997 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 635.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.98 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 831.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.936 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 983.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 January 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.932 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1050.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 November 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.776 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1465.56 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
11 October 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.512 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1479.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 May 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.799 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1322.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 March 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.867 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 1409.77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH     smart_toy0.985 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 543.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.799 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 536.45 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 September 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.882 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 549.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 December 2018  bubble_chart   HIGH     smart_toy0.962 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 269.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.711 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 299.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 June 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.833 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 292.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 May 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.765 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 293.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 April 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.744 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 327.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 October 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.87 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 238.94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 August 2017  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.745 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 241.07 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 December 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.961 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 153.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for MercadoLibre Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: MELI) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:50. Data for this stock is available from 01 Mar 2016 - 29 Apr 2026.