Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to KHC's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -8.08%.   Win rate: 53.85%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.176.   Maximum drawdown: -64.66% on 15 August 2019.
Mean CAGR: 77.03%. Time in market: 8355 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $337.50 on 11 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Kraft Heinz Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 26 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (53.85% * 8.24%) + (15.38% * 0.86%) - (30.77% * 41.11%) = -8.08%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 8

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Kraft Heinz Company Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
19 March 2026   50     Super Oversold $ 21.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 March 2026   20     Super Oversold $ 21.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
21 January 2026   40     Super Oversold $ 22.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
06 January 2026   10     Super Oversold $ 23.67 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 November 2025   50     Super Oversold $ 24.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 October 2025   45     Super Oversold $ 25.04 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 June 2025   15     Super Oversold $ 25.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 May 2025   15     Super Oversold $ 26.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
12 February 2025   20     Super Oversold $ 28.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 January 2025   40     Super Oversold $ 28.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
12 October 2023   15     Super Oversold $ 31.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 September 2023   15     Super Oversold $ 32.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
08 August 2023   15     Super Oversold $ 33.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
01 December 2021   15     Super Oversold $ 33.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   100     mode_heat Super Oversold $ 20.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   90     mode_heat Super Oversold $ 20.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 March 2020   100     mode_heat Super Oversold $ 23.24 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2019   40     Super Oversold $ 25.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 May 2019   10     Super Oversold $ 26.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
28 May 2019   40     Super Oversold $ 27.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 February 2019   10     Super Oversold $ 29.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 February 2019   40     Super Oversold $ 31.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 February 2019   40     Super Oversold $ 32.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 February 2019   40     Super Oversold $ 32.40 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 December 2018   50     Super Oversold $ 41.92 select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 December 2018   80     mode_heat Super Oversold $ 42.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 December 2018   50     Super Oversold $ 42.62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 November 2018   70     Super Oversold $ 46.57 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 May 2018   40     Super Oversold $ 48.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 April 2018   70     Super Oversold $ 51.23 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 April 2018   70     Super Oversold $ 52.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
23 March 2018   20     Super Oversold $ 53.48 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
22 March 2018   50     Super Oversold $ 54.14 select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 March 2018   45     Super Oversold $ 57.93 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 February 2018   20     Super Oversold $ 59.84 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
18 October 2017   10     Super Oversold $ 67.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for Kraft Heinz Company (exchange: XNAS symbol: KHC) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:32. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 26 Mar 2026.