First Financial Bankshares Inc (FFIN) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Rate of Change Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite
Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD Best Buy Signals [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FFIN's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores help.
Expectancy: 2.30%. Win rate: 75.00%. Sharpe Ratio: -1.297. Maximum drawdown: -51.20% on 23 October 2023.
Mean CAGR: 118.5%. Time in market: 3579 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1157.34 on 14 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for First Financial Bankshares

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (75.00% * 8.79%) + (6.25% * 1.12%) - (18.75% * 23.27%) = 2.30%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

First Financial Bankshares Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
18 March 2026 20	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 28.82	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
31 December 2025 15	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 30.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
17 November 2025 20	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 30.44	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
29 September 2025 15	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 33.96	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 April 2025 15	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 32.89	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
02 January 2025 20	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 36.00	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule
10 June 2024 25	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 28.44	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 October 2023 40	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 23.74	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
18 September 2023 40	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 27.10	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2023 bubble_chart 40	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 27.96	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
13 March 2023 bubble_chart 10	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 30.52	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
28 November 2022 bubble_chart 10	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 36.60	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
21 October 2022 bubble_chart 10	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 41.00	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
10 June 2022 bubble_chart 10	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 38.85	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 April 2022 bubble_chart 10	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 41.44	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	disabled_by_default
23 March 2022 bubble_chart 55	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 44.89	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
27 January 2022 bubble_chart 20	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 47.66	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
07 September 2021 bubble_chart 15	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 45.88	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default
23 September 2020 15	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 27.16	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 February 2020 15	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 32.75	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
24 December 2018 50	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 26.40	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
07 September 2017 10	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 18.19	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 March 2017 10	Williams %R (Weekly)	$ 19.71	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for First Financial Bankshares Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: FFIN) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 10:49. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 26 Mar 2026.