VanEck Video Gaming & ESports (ESPO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ESPO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 4.27%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.113.   Maximum drawdown: -38.68% on 24 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 105.17%. Time in market: 2163 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1101.10 on 13 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Gaming & ESports

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 8.38%) + (22.22% * 0.37%) - (11.11% * 12.55%) = 4.27%.
Wins: 6 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
30 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.619 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 87.63 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
23 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.691 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 92.64 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
20 January 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.559 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 103.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.581 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 105.87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
14 November 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.73 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 110.40 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.93 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 81.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
25 October 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.848 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 50.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 September 2023   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.389 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.973 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 41.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.668 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 46.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.573 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 51.97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.564 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 58.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 January 2022   LOW     smart_toy0.637 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 63.28 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 September 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.664 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 65.03 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
12 May 2021   LOW     smart_toy0.755 Williams %R (Weekly) $ 65.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default

 

The data for VanEck Video Gaming & ESports (exchange: XNAS symbol: ESPO) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:49. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 Apr 2026.