EBay Inc (EBAY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to EBAY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.36%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.834.   Maximum drawdown: -32.04% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 127.74%. Time in market: 3533 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2614.33 on 28 February 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for EBay

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 17 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 9.62%) + (16.67% * 2.04%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.36%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

EBay Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 April 2026   LOW   Gap Down $ 100.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 February 2026   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 85.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025   LOW   Gap Down $ 63.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 February 2025   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 63.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 October 2024   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 58.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2024   LOW   Gap Down $ 41.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
25 October 2023   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 39.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 July 2023   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 44.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2023   LOW   Gap Down $ 45.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 38.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 43.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
04 August 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 48.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE Gap Down $ 44.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
05 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 49.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   Gap Down $ 70.13 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
03 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   Gap Down $ 55.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   Gap Down $ 50.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 August 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   Gap Down $ 57.45 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2020   LOW   Gap Down $ 34.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2019   LOW   Gap Down $ 35.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2019   LOW   Gap Down $ 38.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
21 December 2018   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 26.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2018   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 31.64 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 April 2018   MEDIUM   Gap Down $ 37.87 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 January 2018   LOW   Gap Down $ 37.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
20 April 2017   LOW   Gap Down $ 31.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 October 2016   LOW   Gap Down $ 28.59 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 June 2016   LOW   Gap Down $ 22.91 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2016   LOW   Gap Down $ 23.87 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for EBay Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: EBAY) was last updated 27 Apr 2026 02:41. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 24 Apr 2026.