iShares US Real Estate (IYR) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results corporate_fare

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to IYR's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 1.97%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.348.   Maximum drawdown: -70.26% on 09 March 2009.
Mean CAGR: 86%. Time in market: 4666 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1175.03 on 01 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US Real Estate

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 8.36%) + (4.17% * 0.40%) - (12.50% * 40.09%) = 1.97%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026   LOW     smart_toy0.623 26 Week Low $ 92.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
16 December 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.723 26 Week Low $ 93.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
07 April 2025   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.96 26 Week Low $ 87.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 January 2025   HIGH     smart_toy0.812 26 Week Low $ 89.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
25 September 2023   HIGH     smart_toy0.693 26 Week Low $ 79.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.962 26 Week Low $ 85.96 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 June 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.929 26 Week Low $ 92.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 May 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.865 26 Week Low $ 97.33 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2022   LOW     smart_toy0.864 26 Week Low $ 102.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
28 February 2020   LOW     smart_toy0.504 26 Week Low $ 77.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 December 2018   LOW   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.918 26 Week Low $ 62.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 January 2018   LOW     smart_toy0.516 26 Week Low $ 63.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 November 2016   LOW     smart_toy0.494 26 Week Low $ 58.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
09 February 2016   LOW   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.924 26 Week Low $ 51.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2015   LOW   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.84 26 Week Low $ 52.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
05 June 2015   LOW     smart_toy0.631 26 Week Low $ 54.10 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 August 2013   LOW     smart_toy0.851 26 Week Low $ 43.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
03 October 2011   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.986 26 Week Low $ 31.80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 August 2011   LOW   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.813 26 Week Low $ 35.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2009   HIGH     smart_toy0.638 26 Week Low $ 14.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 November 2008   HIGH   FIRE SALE   smart_toy0.945 26 Week Low $ 18.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 October 2008   LOW     smart_toy0.694 26 Week Low $ 29.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 July 2008   LOW     smart_toy0.667 26 Week Low $ 31.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 January 2008   LOW     smart_toy0.914 26 Week Low $ 34.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
20 November 2007   LOW     smart_toy0.704 26 Week Low $ 36.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
30 July 2007   LOW     smart_toy0.914 26 Week Low $ 37.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 June 2007   LOW     smart_toy0.78 26 Week Low $ 40.38 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 May 2007   LOW     smart_toy0.882 26 Week Low $ 42.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for iShares US Real Estate (exchange: ARCX symbol: IYR) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 07:46. Data for this ETF is available from 19 Jun 2000 - 29 Apr 2026.