Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:          
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to WD's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 4.14%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 93.75%.   Maximum drawdown: 54.25% on 06 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 141.31%. Time in market: 1556 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1366.24 on 14 November 2023
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for Walker & Dunlop

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 20 December 2023 for a 5% profit target: (93.75% * 5.88%) + (0% * 0%) - (6.25% * 21.99%) = 4.14%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
22 December 2025 $60.94 schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 December 2025 $61.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 November 2025 $72.60 schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 May 2025 $71.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 April 2025 $81.03 select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
13 February 2025 $88.42 schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 December 2024 $102.68 schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 March 2024 $89.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 October 2023 $64.83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
26 September 2023 $74.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 April 2023 $67.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 March 2023 $76.22 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 December 2022 $77.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 November 2022 $82.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
23 September 2022 $89.52 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
13 June 2022 $93.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 April 2022 $120.24 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
27 January 2022 $125.05 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
09 March 2020 $59.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2018 $40.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 October 2018 $42.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 September 2018 $50.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 January 2018 $44.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2017 $43.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Walker & Dunlop Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: WD) was last updated 27 Dec 2025 05:57. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Dec 2025.