Polaris Inc (PII) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to PII's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.54%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 5.119.   Maximum drawdown: -36.33% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 164.88%. Time in market: 766 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1658.93 on 28 March 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Polaris Inc

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.54%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.54%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Polaris Inc Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
15 April 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.812   Super Oversold (MD) $ 48.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 April 2026   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.681   Super Oversold (26) $ 48.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy1   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 32.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 April 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.999   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 35.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.997   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 35.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 March 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.991   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 40.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   Super Oversold (MD) $ 41.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 March 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.997   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 41.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 March 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.997   Super Oversold (MD) $ 41.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 February 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.994   Super Oversold (52) $ 44.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.989   Super Oversold (52) $ 50.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.989   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 50.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989   Super Oversold (26) $ 50.14 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 January 2025   HIGH   smart_toy0.988   Super Oversold (52) $ 56.21 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.935   Super Oversold (26) $ 59.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 December 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.935   Super Oversold (52) $ 59.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.721   Super Oversold (DB) $ 60.84 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 December 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.88   Super Oversold (52) $ 64.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 November 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.948   Super Oversold (26) $ 65.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
18 November 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.955   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 66.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 November 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.858   Super Oversold (52) $ 67.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 November 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.857   Super Oversold (52) $ 67.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 July 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.948   Super Oversold (26) $ 74.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 July 2024   HIGH   smart_toy0.917   Super Oversold (GD) $ 74.79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 June 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95   Super Oversold (26) $ 76.87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
23 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.951   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 91.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.898   Super Oversold (26) $ 102.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.778   Super Oversold (26) $ 104.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
08 December 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.465   Super Oversold (26) $ 111.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
30 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.998   Super Oversold (MD) $ 46.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
30 March 2020   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (RoC) $ 46.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.997   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (52) $ 55.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.998   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 63.55 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.995   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (GD) $ 73.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.975   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 75.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 December 2018   HIGH   smart_toy0.936   Super Oversold (52) $ 76.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.894   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 88.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
10 October 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.904   FIRE SALE Super Oversold (26) $ 89.65 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.981   Super Oversold (MD) $ 70.55 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 January 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.986   Super Oversold (RoC) $ 70.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Polaris Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: PII) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 15 May 2026.