Old Republic International Corp (ORI) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
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Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.41%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.894.   Maximum drawdown: -38.04% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 82.86%. Time in market: 908 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1409.63 on 14 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Old Republic International

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 8.46%) + (14.29% * 1.07%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.41%.
Wins: 6 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Old Republic International Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 March 2026   20     26 Week Low $ 37.91 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 September 2022  bubble_chart   10     26 Week Low $ 20.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 June 2022  bubble_chart   10     26 Week Low $ 21.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2022  bubble_chart   10     26 Week Low $ 23.44 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2020   40     26 Week Low $ 20.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 September 2017  bubble_chart   10     26 Week Low $ 15.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 July 2017  bubble_chart   10     26 Week Low $ 15.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 October 2016       26 Week Low $ 13.88 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Old Republic International Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: ORI) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:21. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.