Mastercard Incorporated (MA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to MA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.21%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 10.219.   Maximum drawdown: -11.46% on 01 December 2021.
Mean CAGR: 228.88%. Time in market: 272 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1875.45 on 28 October 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Mastercard

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 9 signal(s) occurring before 26 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.21%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.21%.
Wins: 9 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Mastercard Analysis

Market sector: Financials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW     26 Week Low $ 490.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 495.87 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 January 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 528.08 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 530.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
07 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.987   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 482.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 433.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
22 September 2022   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.967   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 300.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 312.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 March 2022   HIGH   smart_toy0.968   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 312.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2021   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 316.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 October 2021   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 338.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 August 2021   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 354.10 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.992   mode_heatmode_heatmode_heat 26 Week Low $ 242.66 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 December 2018   HIGH     26 Week Low $ 172.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 182.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Mastercard Incorporated (exchange: XNYS symbol: MA) was last updated 05 Apr 2026 19:47. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 02 Apr 2026.