Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to KDP's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.93%.   Win rate: 82.35%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.312.   Maximum drawdown: -25.99% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 79.9%. Time in market: 2607 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2422.56 on 25 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Keurig Dr Pepper

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 17 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (82.35% * 8.35%) + (17.65% * 0.32%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.93%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Keurig Dr Pepper Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 March 2026   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 26.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
26 September 2025   15     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 25.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2025   15     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.78 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
06 January 2025   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 31.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
05 November 2024   20     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 32.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box schedule schedule
22 February 2024   15     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 30.47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 October 2023   40     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 30.76 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
31 May 2023   40     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 30.51 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 April 2023   40     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 34.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 March 2023   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 34.30 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 December 2022   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 35.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 May 2022   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 36.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 September 2021   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 34.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 October 2020  bubble_chart   15     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 27.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2020  bubble_chart   15     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 27.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 March 2020  bubble_chart   50     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 26.33 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 August 2019  bubble_chart   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 27.53 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
25 September 2017   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 19.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 July 2017   10     Williams %R (Weekly) $ 19.93 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 November 2016       Williams %R (Weekly) $ 18.68 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
09 September 2016       Williams %R (Weekly) $ 19.65 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
21 April 2016       Williams %R (Weekly) $ 18.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: KDP) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 11:18. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.