Hormel Foods Corp (HRL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HRL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: -0.17%.   Win rate: 76.92%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.982.   Maximum drawdown: -35.64% on 18 February 2025.
Mean CAGR: 81.98%. Time in market: 3157 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $591.96 on 08 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Hormel Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 08 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.92% * 9.48%) + (0% * 0%) - (23.08% * 32.32%) = -0.17%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Hormel Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 May 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.741   52 Week Low $ 20.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 April 2026   LOW   smart_toy0.464   52 Week Low $ 21.09 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 October 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.642   52 Week Low $ 22.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 September 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.515   52 Week Low $ 24.92 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
31 July 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.605   52 Week Low $ 28.07 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 February 2025   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.8   52 Week Low $ 28.58 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
22 January 2024   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.828   52 Week Low $ 30.48 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.509   52 Week Low $ 30.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 October 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.936   52 Week Low $ 34.04 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
06 September 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.748   52 Week Low $ 37.15 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
25 May 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.876   52 Week Low $ 37.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 March 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.578   52 Week Low $ 44.00 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
19 January 2023   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.904   52 Week Low $ 44.49 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 September 2021   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.684   52 Week Low $ 43.84 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.731   52 Week Low $ 29.01 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.712   52 Week Low $ 30.11 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
10 July 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.461   52 Week Low $ 30.95 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
26 May 2017   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.549   52 Week Low $ 31.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 December 2016   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.502   52 Week Low $ 31.45 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Hormel Foods Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: HRL) was last updated 15 May 2026 23:40. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 15 May 2026.