Hormel Foods Corp (HRL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to HRL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: -0.17%. Win rate: 76.92%. Sharpe Ratio: -0.982. Maximum drawdown: -35.64% on 18 February 2025.
Mean CAGR: 81.98%. Time in market: 3157 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $591.96 on 08 September 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Hormel Foods

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (76.92% * 9.48%) + (0% * 0%) - (23.08% * 32.32%) = -0.17%.
Wins: 10 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 3

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Hormel Foods Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date	Signal Type	Scores						Performance
		Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%
14 July 2026	Mega Dump Lite	68	70	68	86	64	76	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 June 2026	Collapsed Bubble	59	64	67	86	63	69	schedule	schedule	schedule
30 June 2026	Gap Down	69	64	67	86	63	75	schedule	schedule	schedule
23 June 2026	Double Seven	66	58	71	86	66	71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule	schedule
16 June 2026	Collapsed Bubble	48	61	72	87	67	60	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
16 June 2026	Oversold Rebound	63	62	72	87	67	70	schedule	schedule	schedule
03 June 2026	Collapsed Bubble	55	88	72	87	67	73	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 May 2026	Gap Up	52	83	72	87	67	70	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 May 2026	Collapsed Bubble	76	73	73	87	68	82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026	Mega Dump Lite	75	86	73	84	68	85	schedule	schedule	schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date	Buy Signal	Price	Scores						Performance (mouseover for details)
			Signal	Sector	WR	Speed	Risk	Overall	5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
12 May 2026	52 Week Low	$ 20.24	71	86	73	85	68	83	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
09 April 2026	52 Week Low	$ 21.09	74	74	74	83	68	81	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2025	52 Week Low	$ 22.20	82	71	76	84	80	84	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	schedule
15 September 2025	52 Week Low	$ 24.92	95	76	80	74	76	92	select_check_box	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
31 July 2025	52 Week Low	$ 28.07	62	83	82	72	75	74	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
12 February 2025	52 Week Low	$ 28.58	85	65	100	68	89	82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
22 January 2024	52 Week Low	$ 30.48	79	87	100	44	92	82	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
30 November 2023	52 Week Low	$ 30.54	60	91	100	50	92	72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
12 October 2023	52 Week Low	$ 34.04	79	88	100	58	93	84	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
06 September 2023	52 Week Low	$ 37.15	75	91	100	61	94	83	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
25 May 2023	52 Week Low	$ 37.51	85	79	100	68	95	86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
01 March 2023	52 Week Low	$ 44.00	75	77	84	64	79	80	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
19 January 2023	52 Week Low	$ 44.49	81	81	82	63	79	85	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default	disabled_by_default
02 September 2021	52 Week Low	$ 43.84	73	78	84	67	84	79	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
23 October 2017	52 Week Low	$ 29.01	50	47					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
24 August 2017	52 Week Low	$ 30.11	72	69					select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
10 July 2017	52 Week Low	$ 30.95	72	65					select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
26 May 2017	52 Week Low	$ 31.14	80	38					select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
01 December 2016	52 Week Low	$ 31.45	68	88					select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box

The data for Hormel Foods Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: HRL) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.