HCA Healthcare Inc (HCA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HCA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.63%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 4.438.   Maximum drawdown: -31.31% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 170.01%. Time in market: 564 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1888.86 on 14 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for HCA Healthcare

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 17 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.63%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.63%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

HCA Healthcare Analysis

Market sector: Healthcare.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 April 2026   LOW   26 Week Low $ 431.23 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 December 2024   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 313.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
24 October 2023   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE 26 Week Low $ 223.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 252.02 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 July 2022   MEDIUM   FIRE SALE 26 Week Low $ 167.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2022   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 202.90 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2022   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 209.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2022   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 224.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   FIRE SALE 26 Week Low $ 102.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 April 2019   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 111.93 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2017   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 73.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2017   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 74.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 August 2017   MEDIUM   26 Week Low $ 77.69 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 November 2016   LOW   26 Week Low $ 68.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for HCA Healthcare Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: HCA) was last updated 27 Apr 2026 01:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 24 Apr 2026.