H.B. Fuller Company (FUL) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to FUL's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Expectancy: 5.11%.   Win rate: 94.44%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.775.   Maximum drawdown: 49.92% on 03 April 2020.
Mean CAGR: 87.49%. Time in market: 2160 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1925.18 on 14 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for H.B. Fuller Company

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 18 signal(s) occurring before 27 February 2024 for a 5% profit target: (94.44% * 5.99%) + (0% * 0%) - (5.56% * 9.91%) = 5.11%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

H.B. Fuller Company Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 March 2026 $ 62.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 January 2026 $ 62.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
28 March 2025 $ 56.00 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
29 September 2023 $ 70.38 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 October 2022 $ 65.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 March 2022 $ 66.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2021 $ 67.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
28 October 2020 $ 45.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2020 $ 47.72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 June 2020 $ 38.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 April 2020 $ 31.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2020 $ 46.80 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
25 April 2019 $ 47.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
22 March 2019 $ 47.99 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 December 2018 $ 45.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
27 September 2018 $ 51.83 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 January 2018 $ 51.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default
29 June 2017 $ 47.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
19 January 2017 $ 46.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
09 September 2016 $ 45.08 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
24 June 2016 $ 42.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for H.B. Fuller Company (exchange: XNYS symbol: FUL) was last updated 06 Mar 2026 14:18. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 05 Mar 2026.