Brown-Forman Corp (BF-B) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BF-B's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 8.60%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 7.928.   Maximum drawdown: -12.71% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 267.19%. Time in market: 44 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1179.39 on 12 May 2020.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Brown-Forman

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 2 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 8.60%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.60%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Brown-Forman Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
23 March 2026   80     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 23.10 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
14 July 2025   65     Mega Dump $ 28.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
10 June 2025   65     Mega Dump $ 27.83 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
20 April 2020  bubble_chart   65     Mega Dump $ 62.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 March 2020  bubble_chart   100     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 54.44 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Brown-Forman Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: BF-B) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 10:55. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.