Best Buy Co. Inc (BBY) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BBY's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 4.20%.   Win rate: 84.62%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.506.   Maximum drawdown: -39.99% on 09 November 2023.
Mean CAGR: 165.43%. Time in market: 1839 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1054.52 on 01 December 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Best Buy

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 13 signal(s) occurring before 06 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (84.62% * 8.93%) + (0% * 0%) - (15.38% * 21.82%) = 4.20%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Best Buy Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 April 2026   LOW     26 Week Low $ 60.45 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
23 February 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 63.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
11 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.994   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 59.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 77.32 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule schedule
26 October 2023   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 66.25 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2023   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 68.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 September 2022   LOW   smart_toy0.991   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 63.86 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 June 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.988   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 69.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
11 May 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.977   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 86.38 select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 90.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW     26 Week Low $ 95.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
01 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     26 Week Low $ 105.20 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
20 September 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     26 Week Low $ 107.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW     26 Week Low $ 98.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.996   mode_heatmode_heat 26 Week Low $ 56.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 50.00 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     26 Week Low $ 62.62 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Best Buy Co. Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: BBY) was last updated 14 Apr 2026 13:12. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 13 Apr 2026.