Autozone Inc (AZO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:            
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AZO's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 6.09%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 100%.   Maximum drawdown: 34.92% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 106.91%. Time in market: 1688 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1684.13 on 03 November 2023
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for Autozone

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 07 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (100% * 6.09%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.09%.
Wins: 16 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
05 January 2026 $3264.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
31 December 2025 $3390.75 schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 December 2025 $3441.72 schedule schedule schedule schedule
09 December 2025 $3595.83 schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 October 2025 $3751.31 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
24 October 2023 $2425.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2023 $2328.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2022 $1827.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 February 2022 $1827.64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2020 $1123.85 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020 $1009.16 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 January 2020 $1102.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 April 2018 $612.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2018 $651.97 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2017 $579.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
16 May 2017 $674.94 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 April 2017 $694.75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2017 $717.29 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
30 January 2017 $726.43 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 October 2016 $739.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
02 September 2016 $744.07 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Autozone Inc (exchange: XNYS symbol: AZO) was last updated 14 Jan 2026 03:42. Data for this stock is available from 04 Jan 2016 - 13 Jan 2026.