A.O. Smith Corp (AOS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AOS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 3.42%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: -1.873.   Maximum drawdown: 40.57% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 115.91%. Time in market: 2992 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1205.89 on 12 October 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for A.O. Smith Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 15 signal(s) occurring before 10 March 2024 for a 5% profit target: (80.0% * 6.27%) + (6.67% * 0.03%) - (13.33% * 12.02%) = 3.42%.
Wins: 12 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 2

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

A.O. Smith Corp Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
17 March 2026   30 $ 66.30 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
28 October 2025   25 $ 67.56 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
03 April 2025   25 $ 64.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2025   40 $ 66.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2024   30 $ 71.24 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 October 2024   25 $ 77.64 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 August 2024   25 $ 79.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
06 June 2024   25 $ 81.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 September 2023   50 $ 66.77 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2023   50 $ 63.99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 September 2022   25 $ 53.18 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 May 2022   25 $ 58.34 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 April 2022   25 $ 63.51 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
15 March 2022   65 $ 66.12 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 February 2022   35 $ 72.74 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 September 2021   20 $ 65.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2020   55 $ 39.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2020   20 $ 44.01 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
15 May 2019   25 $ 47.08 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
29 October 2018   50 $ 41.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2018   50 $ 54.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
21 June 2018   50 $ 58.56 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
02 November 2016   -1 $ 41.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for A.O. Smith Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: AOS) was last updated 18 Mar 2026 13:26. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 17 Mar 2026.