A.O. Smith Corp (AOS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to AOS's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.02%.   Win rate: 87.50%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.093.   Maximum drawdown: -36.59% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 130.13%. Time in market: 1206 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1441.32 on 07 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for A.O. Smith Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (87.50% * 8.68%) + (0% * 0%) - (12.50% * 4.57%) = 7.02%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

A.O. Smith Corp Analysis

Market sector: Basic Materials.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
29 July 2026 Gap Down 49 69 100 88 63 64 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026 Oversold Rebound 62 47 100 87 66 64 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
10 June 2026 Mega Dump Lite 65 38 100 87 66 62 schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026 Gap Down 72 38 100 87 66 65 schedule schedule schedule
19 May 2026 50 Day Low 63 81 100 84 65 77 schedule schedule schedule
12 May 2026 Super Oversold (26) 81 83 100 85 65 88 schedule schedule schedule
04 May 2026 Super Oversold (RoC) 73 73 100 85 65 80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
01 May 2026 52 Week Low 78 83 100 85 65 86 schedule schedule schedule
30 April 2026 26 Week Low 78 80 100 85 65 86 schedule schedule schedule
30 April 2026 Williams %R (Weekly) 50 80 100 85 65 67 schedule schedule schedule

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
01 May 2026 52 Week Low $ 61.18 78 83 100 85 65 86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 April 2025 52 Week Low $ 64.08 89 71 90 71 66 87 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 January 2025 52 Week Low $ 66.91 83 75 91 73 68 85 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2024 52 Week Low $ 71.24 85 85 91 70 68 90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2024 52 Week Low $ 73.00 77 95 91 72 69 88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 September 2022 52 Week Low $ 52.09 90 90 65 80 61 96 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022 52 Week Low $ 56.42 98 93 61 79 60 100 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2022 52 Week Low $ 61.06 90 93 61 87 65 97 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2020 52 Week Low $ 39.26 90 84 100 97 98 94 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2019 52 Week Low $ 39.78 84 54 100 100 98 79 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2018 52 Week Low $ 41.72 91 96 100 99 99 99 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2018 52 Week Low $ 41.92 91 75 100 99 100 92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2018 52 Week Low $ 54.88 47 69 100 99 100 62 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for A.O. Smith Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: AOS) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 07:30. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.