A.O. Smith Corp (AOS) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results military_tech

Buy indicator:          
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to AOS's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 4.66%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 87.50%.   Maximum drawdown: 36.59% on 23 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 145.7%. Time in market: 974 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1270.66 on 01 November 2022
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for A.O. Smith Corp

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 8 signal(s) occurring before 20 December 2023 for a 5% profit target: (87.50% * 5.98%) + (0% * 0%) - (12.50% * 4.57%) = 4.66%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
03 April 2025 $64.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
30 January 2025 $66.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box schedule
17 December 2024 $71.24 schedule schedule schedule schedule
16 September 2022 $52.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022 $56.42 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 April 2022 $61.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
27 February 2020 $39.26 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 May 2019 $39.78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 December 2018 $41.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 October 2018 $41.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 September 2018 $54.88 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default

 

The data for A.O. Smith Corp (exchange: XNYS symbol: AOS) was last updated 27 Dec 2025 05:23. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Dec 2025.