Zillow Group Inc (Z) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to Z's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.21%.   Win rate: 85.71%.   Sharpe Ratio: -0.492.   Maximum drawdown: -83.33% on 13 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 180.84%. Time in market: 2608 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $691.94 on 04 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Zillow

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 21 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.71% * 10.21%) + (9.52% * 0.36%) - (4.76% * 75.04%) = 5.21%.
Wins: 18 Breakevens: 2 Losses: 1

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Zillow Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Mega Dump Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Mega Dump entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
24 March 2026   65     Mega Dump $ 44.81 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
19 February 2026  bubble_chart   50     Mega Dump $ 45.08 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
15 October 2025  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 73.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
01 November 2022  bubble_chart   60     Mega Dump $ 31.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2022  bubble_chart   70     Mega Dump $ 29.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 June 2022  bubble_chart   70     Mega Dump $ 30.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
16 May 2022  bubble_chart   70     Mega Dump $ 40.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
12 April 2022  bubble_chart   70     Mega Dump $ 48.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 March 2022  bubble_chart   85     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 49.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 November 2021  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 55.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 June 2021  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 114.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
17 May 2021  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 110.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default
05 April 2021  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 134.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 March 2021  bubble_chart   40     Mega Dump $ 166.14 disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
24 April 2020  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 39.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 March 2020  bubble_chart   100     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 29.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 September 2019  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 30.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 August 2019  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 36.18 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 January 2019  bubble_chart   55     Mega Dump $ 33.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2018  bubble_chart   80     mode_heat Mega Dump $ 31.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 November 2018  bubble_chart   55     Mega Dump $ 30.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
11 September 2018  bubble_chart   70     Mega Dump $ 46.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 August 2018  bubble_chart   70     Mega Dump $ 49.57 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 August 2017  bubble_chart   45     Mega Dump $ 38.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Zillow Group Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: Z) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 10:53. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 26 Mar 2026.