NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to NVDA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.08%.   Win rate: 93.75%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.762.   Maximum drawdown: -46.73% on 24 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 197.11%. Time in market: 1184 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2264.86 on 03 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for NVIDIA

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 16 signal(s) occurring before 22 May 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (93.75% * 8.58%) + (6.25% * 0.54%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.08%.
Wins: 15 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

NVIDIA Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

50 day low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 50 day low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.847  factory0.621   50 Day Low $ 168.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99  factory0.4   50 Day Low $ 173.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 December 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.926  factory0.744   50 Day Low $ 173.52 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
04 April 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.999  factory0.871   50 Day Low $ 96.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.985  factory0.573   50 Day Low $ 113.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 January 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.81  factory0.708   50 Day Low $ 121.61 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
26 October 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.964  factory0.734   50 Day Low $ 41.08 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
21 September 2023  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.959  factory0.618   50 Day Low $ 41.29 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
10 October 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.989  factory0.836   50 Day Low $ 11.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.987  factory0.912   50 Day Low $ 14.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.995  factory0.904   50 Day Low $ 15.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.916  factory0.573   50 Day Low $ 20.92 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
24 February 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.942  factory0.614   50 Day Low $ 22.35 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.631  factory0.326   50 Day Low $ 26.58 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
04 March 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.849  factory0.412   50 Day Low $ 12.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 March 2020  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.956  factory0.796   50 Day Low $ 5.50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 May 2019  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.952  factory0.901   50 Day Low $ 3.69 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
20 December 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.99  factory0.882   50 Day Low $ 3.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.995  factory0.759   50 Day Low $ 4.06 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2018  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.856  factory0.867   50 Day Low $ 5.91 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
11 April 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.749  factory0.532   50 Day Low $ 2.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2017  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.342  factory0.44   50 Day Low $ 2.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for NVIDIA Corp (exchange: XNAS symbol: NVDA) was last updated 30 May 2026 15:00. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 29 May 2026.