Netflix Inc (NFLX) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal: 52 Week Low 26 Week Low 50 day low Simple Mean Reversion Simple Mean Reversion (RoC) Gap Up Rate of Change
Super Oversold Mega Dump MegaDump Lite Double Bottom Williams %R (Weekly) Large Gap Down Super Oversold from 52W/RoC/MD/DB/OR
Collapsed Bubble Collapsed Bubble (RoC) Oversold Rebound Best Buy Signals [ What are these? | Switch to NFLX's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% -or- Use trailing stop losses.
Show signal scores: On Off Scores: All Low Medium High Very High Market sector score: All Low High [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 9.83%. Win rate: 100%. Sharpe Ratio: 1.272. Maximum drawdown: -28.45% on 14 June 2022.
Mean CAGR: 206.2%. Time in market: 1285 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2607.66 on 19 October 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Netflix

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 25 signal(s) occurring before 10 July 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 9.83%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 9.83%.
Wins: 25 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Netflix Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Super Oversold Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Super Oversold entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date, Score and Sector Score	Buy Signal	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
			5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
17 July 2026 smart_toyLOW (78) shopping_cartLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 67.22	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
21 January 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (88) shopping_cartLOW	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 83.94	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 January 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (88) shopping_cartLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 83.94	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 January 2026 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (69) shopping_cartLOW	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 89.74	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
10 December 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (82) shopping_cartLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 94.72	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule
05 December 2025 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (82) shopping_cartLOW	Super Oversold (26)	$ 99.51	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	schedule	schedule
18 October 2023 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (84) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 34.86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
10 June 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (95)	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 18.28	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (96)	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 17.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
09 May 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (96) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 17.54	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
06 May 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (95) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (52)	$ 18.39	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
22 April 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (87) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 21.78	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (88)	Super Oversold (52)	$ 21.91	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (84) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (52)	$ 23.57	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
20 April 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (85)	Super Oversold (SMR)	$ 23.57	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
14 March 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (96) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 33.49	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
08 March 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (94)	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 34.58	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box
07 March 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (89)	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 35.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
07 March 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (89) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 35.53	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box
26 January 2022 bubble_chart smart_toyMEDIUM (89) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 36.90	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
24 September 2019 smart_toyMEDIUM (86)	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 25.86	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2019 smart_toyLOW (74)	Super Oversold (26)	$ 26.71	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
23 August 2019 smart_toyMEDIUM (87)	Super Oversold (26)	$ 29.32	select_check_box	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt
26 December 2018 bubble_chart smart_toyHIGH (99) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (DB)	$ 24.38	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
20 November 2018 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (66) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 26.08	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (58) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 27.72	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
16 November 2018 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (44)	Super Oversold (MD)	$ 28.67	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
30 October 2018 bubble_chart smart_toyLOW (59) sirenFIRE SALE	Super Oversold (26)	$ 28.07	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
08 February 2016 smart_toyHIGH (97)	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 8.20	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
05 February 2016 smart_toyHIGH (97)	Super Oversold (GD)	$ 8.55	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2016 smart_toyLOW (77)	Super Oversold (RoC)	$ 10.95	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for Netflix Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: NFLX) was last updated 19 Jul 2026 14:40. Data for this stock is available from 03 Dec 2015 - 17 Jul 2026.