Consolidated Water Co. Ltd (CWCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CWCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 7.65%.   Win rate: 83.33%.   Sharpe Ratio: -3.326.   Maximum drawdown: -22.33% on 26 December 2018.
Mean CAGR: 93.12%. Time in market: 3378 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2608.42 on 14 March 2025.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Consolidated Water

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 24 signal(s) occurring before 06 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (83.33% * 9.05%) + (16.67% * 0.65%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.65%.
Wins: 20 Breakevens: 4 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Consolidated Water Analysis

Market sector: Utilities.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 April 2026   LOW     Gap Down $ 34.34 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
05 March 2026  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 37.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 November 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 35.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
01 October 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 34.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
18 March 2025  bubble_chart   HIGH     Gap Down $ 27.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 25.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
02 July 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 24.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
01 April 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 28.08 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
06 February 2024  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 28.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 November 2023  bubble_chart   HIGH   smart_toy0.951   mode_heat Gap Down $ 31.31 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
11 November 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 17.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   HIGH     Gap Down $ 9.42 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 August 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 11.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
04 May 2021  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 11.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
14 December 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 11.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 September 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 11.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
14 May 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 13.43 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2020  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.973   mode_heat Gap Down $ 14.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
12 November 2019  bubble_chart   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 16.08 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
27 September 2019   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 16.76 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
16 May 2019   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 13.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
19 March 2019   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 12.82 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 December 2018   HIGH     Gap Down $ 12.11 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 July 2018   HIGH     Gap Down $ 13.71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 May 2018   HIGH     Gap Down $ 12.93 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
01 November 2017   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 11.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 August 2017   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 11.21 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
06 June 2017   MEDIUM     Gap Down $ 11.53 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 December 2016   LOW     Gap Down $ 9.92 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 November 2016   LOW     Gap Down $ 10.15 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
16 August 2016   LOW     Gap Down $ 11.27 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for Consolidated Water Co. Ltd (exchange: XNAS symbol: CWCO) was last updated 14 Apr 2026 13:28. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2016 - 13 Apr 2026.