Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                
                   
              [ What are these? | Switch to CSCO's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:       Scores:           Market sector score:       [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 7.22%.   Win rate: 85.00%.   Sharpe Ratio: -2.291.   Maximum drawdown: -36.80% on 16 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 112.09%. Time in market: 2618 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2723.20 on 16 October 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Cisco Systems

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 05 August 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (85.00% * 8.47%) + (15.00% * 0.16%) - (0% * 0%) = 7.22%.
Wins: 17 Breakevens: 3 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Cisco Systems Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

Most Recent Buy Signals
Date Signal Type Scores Performance
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5%
24 July 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 59 94 100 82 60 77 schedule schedule schedule
30 June 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 73 72 100 82 62 80 schedule schedule schedule
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 78 86 100 82 62 87 schedule schedule schedule
22 June 2026  bubble_chart Mega Dump Lite 58 71 100 82 61 70 schedule schedule schedule
10 June 2026  bubble_chart Double Seven 66 68 100 82 62 74 schedule schedule schedule
27 May 2026  bubble_chart Oversold Rebound 56 82 100 82 62 72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down 44 91 100 79 62 65 schedule schedule schedule
15 May 2026  bubble_chart Gap Up 71 91 100 81 61 84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 May 2026 Double Seven 51 93 100 81 61 71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2026 Double Seven 58 94 100 80 61 76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt

Large Gap Down Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each large gap down entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Date Buy Signal Price Scores Performance (mouseover for details)
Signal Sector WR Speed Risk Overall 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 June 2026  bubble_chart Gap Down $ 115.48 78 86 100 82 62 87 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 February 2026 Gap Down $ 77.30 58 81 100 83 69 73 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2025 Gap Down $ 67.32 60 74 100 82 68 72 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
27 January 2025 Gap Down $ 60.24 28 87 100 81 74 50 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 August 2024 Gap Down $ 45.64 64 89 100 77 78 78 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
31 January 2024 Gap Down $ 51.02 50 86 100 71 87 67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
16 November 2023 Gap Down $ 47.36 57 97 100 71 88 74 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
21 September 2023 Gap Down $ 52.58 43 96 100 74 88 63 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
19 April 2023 Gap Down $ 48.64 59 86 100 82 91 74 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
18 November 2021 Gap Down $ 53.18 66 93 100 78 77 80 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 August 2020 Gap Down $ 42.86 61 75 100 72 94 71 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 April 2020 Gap Down $ 40.49 72 91 100 71 96 83 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 March 2020 Gap Down $ 36.60 92 96 100 73 97 96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
13 February 2020 Gap Down $ 46.81 64 80 100 72 93 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 November 2019 Gap Down $ 44.51 55 88 100 71 93 71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
02 August 2019 Gap Down $ 52.48 63 83 100 74 90 75 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
13 May 2019 Gap Down $ 50.05 73 77 100 86 93 81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
07 December 2018 Gap Down $ 45.26 67 92 100 86 96 81 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018 Gap Down $ 44.53 54 94 100 96 96 73 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 July 2018 Gap Down $ 40.53 39 77 100 95 94 57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
05 February 2018 Gap Down $ 37.26 54 77 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 August 2017 Gap Down $ 28.78 77 47 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 May 2017 Gap Down $ 28.50 60 70 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
17 November 2016 Gap Down $ 26.88 72 92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
24 June 2016 Gap Down $ 24.63 84 89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Cisco Systems Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CSCO) was last updated 13 Aug 2026 08:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 12 Aug 2026.