Commerce Bancshares Inc (CBSH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results crown

Buy indicator:          
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to CBSH's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 4.55%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 70.0%.   Maximum drawdown: 44.67% on 01 November 2023.
Mean CAGR: 98.03%. Time in market: 3406 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1882.55 on 15 November 2023
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for Commerce Bancshares

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 20 signal(s) occurring before 20 December 2023 for a 5% profit target: (70.0% * 6.30%) + (30.0% * 0.47%) - (0% * 0%) = 4.55%.
Wins: 14 Breakevens: 6 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
02 December 2025 $51.15 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
15 October 2025 $57.84 schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 September 2025 $59.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule
10 March 2025 $61.20 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
20 October 2023 $43.49 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 June 2023 $45.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 May 2023 $45.74 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 April 2023 $56.16 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 March 2023 $64.38 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 December 2022 $66.58 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2022 $64.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
11 May 2022 $67.02 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box disabled_by_default
01 December 2021 $65.73 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
10 September 2021 $68.48 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
22 July 2021 $72.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 June 2021 $74.67 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
23 September 2020 $53.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
28 February 2020 $60.98 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 August 2019 $53.28 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
18 December 2018 $53.41 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
11 October 2018 $56.39 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
07 September 2017 $43.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 April 2017 $44.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
06 January 2016 $30.86 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Commerce Bancshares Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: CBSH) was last updated 27 Dec 2025 05:05. Data for this stock is available from 01 Sep 2015 - 26 Dec 2025.