Adobe Inc (ADBE) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:            
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to ADBE's monthly backtests ]
Profit target:           [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 6.41%. See below chart for calculations and explanation.   Win rate: 92.86%.   Maximum drawdown: 50.58% on 30 September 2022.
Mean CAGR: 199.44%. Time in market: 945 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2112.46 on 06 March 2023
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)
*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

 

Expectancy Calculations for Adobe

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 14 signal(s) occurring before 07 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (92.86% * 6.87%) + (7.14% * 0.47%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.41%.
Wins: 13 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 7.5% 10% 20%
13 January 2026 $316.21 schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 November 2025 $324.12 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
15 October 2025 $333.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule schedule
01 August 2025 $351.88 schedule schedule schedule schedule
13 March 2025 $391.56 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
12 December 2024 $481.06 schedule schedule schedule schedule
01 October 2024 $510.12 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
30 May 2024 $455.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 April 2024 $495.34 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
16 February 2024 $568.28 schedule schedule schedule schedule
24 February 2023 $324.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
15 September 2022 $316.14 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022 $374.50 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
22 April 2022 $414.69 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
23 February 2022 $434.90 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
21 January 2022 $504.20 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
17 December 2021 $561.36 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
04 October 2021 $566.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
03 March 2021 $455.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
12 March 2020 $287.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
02 October 2019 $268.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018 $214.18 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
19 November 2018 $228.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
10 October 2018 $245.22 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Adobe Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: ADBE) was last updated 14 Jan 2026 04:59. Data for this stock is available from 01 Feb 2016 - 13 Jan 2026.