Heineken N.V. (HEIA) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to HEIA's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 6.73%.   Win rate: 80.0%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.428.   Maximum drawdown: -32.06% on 15 January 2025.
Mean CAGR: 35.67%. Time in market: 982 days.   Hypothetical return: €1000 would be worth €1188.77 on 24 April 2024.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Heineken

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 5 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (80.0% * 8.29%) + (20.0% * 0.50%) - (0% * 0%) = 6.73%.
Wins: 4 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Heineken Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Staples.

 

Williams %R (Weekly) Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each Williams %R (Weekly) entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
20 March 2026   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 66.86 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 October 2025  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 65.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 September 2025  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 66.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
31 July 2025  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 69.83 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
30 December 2024  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 68.60 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
26 November 2024  bubble_chart   30     Williams %R (Weekly) € 69.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
22 October 2024  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 77.03 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 September 2024  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 80.09 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
29 July 2024  bubble_chart   20     Williams %R (Weekly) € 83.53 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
18 March 2024  bubble_chart   15     Williams %R (Weekly) € 84.88 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt disabled_by_default
06 September 2023  bubble_chart   40     Williams %R (Weekly) € 88.00 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
01 August 2023  bubble_chart   40     Williams %R (Weekly) € 88.78 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box disabled_by_default disabled_by_default
08 June 2023  bubble_chart   40     Williams %R (Weekly) € 94.55 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
10 October 2022       Williams %R (Weekly) € 87.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Heineken N.V. (exchange: XAMS symbol: HEIA) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 10:45. Data for this stock is available from 01 Apr 2022 - 26 Mar 2026.