Meta Platforms Inc (META) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results laptop_car

Buy indicator:                
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to META's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 10.08%.   Win rate: 91.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.873.   Maximum drawdown: -71.04% on 03 November 2022.
Mean CAGR: 157.2%. Time in market: 1070 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $2043.32 on 02 February 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Meta

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 12 signal(s) occurring before 19 March 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (91.67% * 10.87%) + (8.33% * 1.47%) - (0% * 0%) = 10.08%.
Wins: 11 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Meta Analysis

Market sector: Technology.

 

26 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 26 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
26 March 2026   15     26 Week Low $ 565.02 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
12 November 2025  bubble_chart   10     26 Week Low $ 618.57 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   5   smart_toy0.993   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 538.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
27 October 2022  bubble_chart   20   smart_toy0.999   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 97.69 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
14 September 2022  bubble_chart   20   smart_toy0.974   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 151.99 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 June 2022  bubble_chart   20   smart_toy0.998   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 166.96 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 April 2022  bubble_chart   20   smart_toy0.989   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 184.37 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 February 2022  bubble_chart   30   smart_toy0.989   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 200.75 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
21 January 2022  bubble_chart   5   smart_toy0.981   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 308.14 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
02 December 2021  bubble_chart   5     26 Week Low $ 310.06 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
09 March 2020   65   smart_toy0.995   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 169.09 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
21 December 2018   40   smart_toy0.997   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 128.81 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
12 November 2018   15   smart_toy0.986   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 142.62 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 October 2018   30     26 Week Low $ 155.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
23 March 2018   10   smart_toy0.96   mode_heat 26 Week Low $ 161.97 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt

 

The data for Meta Platforms Inc (exchange: ARCX symbol: META) was last updated 27 Mar 2026 13:48. Data for this stock is available from 01 Dec 2015 - 26 Mar 2026.