4 February 2026: BTFDBot is currently being rebuilt following an extensive test with 1507 real money trades. The buy signals are in the process of being restructured. First to reappear will be 52 Week Lows and Super Oversold from a 52 Week Low. More buy signals will be added soon. Poor performing buy signals will be scrapped. There is also a new 6% swing trading profit target, which is the profit target I use for real money tests.

VanEck BDC Income (Business Development Company) (BIZD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator: 52 week low Super Oversold [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BIZD's monthly backtests ]
Profit target: 5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20% [ A higher % profit will take longer and is less likely to be achieved ]
Expectancy: 3.53%. Win rate: 66.67%. Sharpe Ratio: 0.143. Maximum drawdown: 16.52% on 03 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 35.04%. Time in market: 582 days. Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1052.87 on 07 November 2022.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)

*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US BDC

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 3 signal(s) occurring before 28 January 2024 for a 5% profit target: (66.67% * 5.22%) + (33.33% * 0.16%) - (0% * 0%) = 3.53%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

52 week low Backtest Summary

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key: disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date	Price	Performance (mouseover for details)
		5%	6%	7.5%	10%	20%
03 February 2026	$13.59	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
07 October 2025	$14.22	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule	schedule	schedule
04 April 2025	$15.32	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	schedule	schedule
23 September 2022	$14.44	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box
14 June 2022	$15.06	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box electric_bolt	select_check_box
12 May 2022	$15.98	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box	select_check_box

The data for VanEck BDC Income (Business Development Company) (exchange: ARCX symbol: BIZD) was last updated 04 Feb 2026 20:05. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 03 Feb 2026.