VanEck BDC Income (Business Development Company) (BIZD) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Buy indicator:                  
              [ What are these indicators? | Switch to BIZD's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  

Expectancy: 5.59%.   Win rate: 66.67%.   Sharpe Ratio: 0.485.   Maximum drawdown: -16.48% on 03 October 2022.
Mean CAGR: 32.15%. Time in market: 680 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1082.43 on 02 February 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for US BDC

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 3 signal(s) occurring before 22 April 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (66.67% * 8.30%) + (33.33% * 0.16%) - (0% * 0%) = 5.59%.
Wins: 2 Breakevens: 1 Losses: 0

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

 

52 week low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
12 March 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.439 52 Week Low $ 12.56 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
03 February 2026   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.347 52 Week Low $ 13.59 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
07 October 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.126 52 Week Low $ 14.22 select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule schedule
04 April 2025   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.942 52 Week Low $ 15.32 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
23 September 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.819 52 Week Low $ 14.44 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
14 June 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.76 52 Week Low $ 15.06 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
12 May 2022   MEDIUM     smart_toy0.922 52 Week Low $ 15.98 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box

 

The data for VanEck BDC Income (Business Development Company) (exchange: ARCX symbol: BIZD) was last updated 30 Apr 2026 06:57. Data for this ETF is available from 04 Jan 2021 - 29 Apr 2026.