Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to TXRH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 8.72%.   Win rate: 86.96%.   Sharpe Ratio: -5.378.   Maximum drawdown: -54.08% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 155.31%. Time in market: 5056 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $7075.20 on 13 November 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Texas Roadhouse

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 46 signal(s) occurring before 01 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (86.96% * 9.53%) + (13.04% * 3.36%) - (0% * 0%) = 8.72%.
Wins: 40 Breakevens: 6 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Texas Roadhouse Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

MegaDump Lite Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each MegaDump Lite entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
08 June 2026       Mega Dump Lite $ 168.63 schedule schedule schedule schedule schedule
17 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.665  factory0.343   Mega Dump Lite $ 163.54 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
17 March 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.732  factory0.617   Mega Dump Lite $ 171.26 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule schedule
21 November 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.572  factory0.669   Mega Dump Lite $ 170.94 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
20 October 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.775  factory0.703   Mega Dump Lite $ 178.40 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule schedule
16 September 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.848  factory0.566   Mega Dump Lite $ 165.32 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
13 August 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.734  factory0.524   Mega Dump Lite $ 175.88 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt schedule
06 May 2025  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.862  factory0.761   Mega Dump Lite $ 170.62 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 April 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.845  factory0.716   Mega Dump Lite $ 166.54 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
03 March 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.597  factory0.778   Mega Dump Lite $ 182.66 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
28 January 2025  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.877  factory0.661   Mega Dump Lite $ 180.54 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
26 December 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.634  factory0.749   Mega Dump Lite $ 182.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
08 August 2024  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.939  factory0.794   Mega Dump Lite $ 166.92 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
29 September 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.838  factory0.747   Mega Dump Lite $ 96.71 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
04 January 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.758  factory0.821   Mega Dump Lite $ 93.70 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 October 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.853  factory0.904   Mega Dump Lite $ 89.72 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 September 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.804  factory0.905   Mega Dump Lite $ 89.57 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
25 July 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.832  factory0.908   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.39 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
21 June 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.919  factory0.918   Mega Dump Lite $ 71.98 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
17 May 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.977  factory0.921   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.46 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
01 April 2022  bubble_chart   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.767  factory0.414   Mega Dump Lite $ 82.72 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
01 March 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.285  factory0.587   Mega Dump Lite $ 91.90 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
26 January 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.585  factory0.612   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.09 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
03 December 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.631  factory0.787   Mega Dump Lite $ 83.40 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
23 August 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.798  factory0.659   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.65 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
20 July 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.801  factory0.594   Mega Dump Lite $ 92.16 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 June 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.888  factory0.547   Mega Dump Lite $ 90.47 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
17 May 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.841  factory0.441   Mega Dump Lite $ 100.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
01 February 2021  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.761  factory0.505   Mega Dump Lite $ 77.30 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 December 2020  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.801  factory0.682   Mega Dump Lite $ 79.36 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
02 November 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.897  factory0.736   Mega Dump Lite $ 69.92 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
29 September 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.743  factory0.709   Mega Dump Lite $ 61.17 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
13 July 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.71  factory0.587   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.84 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
09 June 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.571  factory0.579   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.20 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
08 May 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.651  factory0.791   Mega Dump Lite $ 47.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
06 April 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.992  factory0.842   FIRE SALE Mega Dump Lite $ 41.02 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
04 March 2020   LOW   smart_toy0.573  factory0.821   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.59 select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
25 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.676  factory0.599   Mega Dump Lite $ 48.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
23 September 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.903  factory0.575   Mega Dump Lite $ 51.28 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
20 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.803  factory0.804   Mega Dump Lite $ 49.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
07 June 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.795  factory0.847   Mega Dump Lite $ 54.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
06 May 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.509  factory0.563   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt
13 March 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.537  factory0.741   Mega Dump Lite $ 58.46 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 February 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.761  factory0.861   Mega Dump Lite $ 60.56 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
28 December 2018   MEDIUM   smart_toy0.95  factory0.915   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.36 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
12 November 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.887  factory0.857   Mega Dump Lite $ 63.31 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
09 October 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.859  factory0.619   Mega Dump Lite $ 65.09 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
05 September 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.924  factory0.655   Mega Dump Lite $ 68.25 select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box
03 August 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.735  factory0.784   Mega Dump Lite $ 60.89 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box
18 May 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.439  factory0.55   Mega Dump Lite $ 57.51 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
13 February 2018   LOW   smart_toy0.648  factory0.659   Mega Dump Lite $ 53.95 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 September 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.84  factory0.558   Mega Dump Lite $ 44.67 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
31 March 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.655  factory0.448   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.95 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
28 February 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.704  factory0.412   Mega Dump Lite $ 39.60 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
12 January 2017   LOW   smart_toy0.987  factory0.609   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.80 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
15 November 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.955  factory0.712   Mega Dump Lite $ 43.38 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box
12 October 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.844  factory0.751   Mega Dump Lite $ 35.82 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
07 September 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.78  factory0.517   Mega Dump Lite $ 41.70 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box
05 August 2016   LOW   smart_toy0.65  factory0.4   Mega Dump Lite $ 40.71 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box

 

The data for Texas Roadhouse Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TXRH) was last updated 09 Jun 2026 07:56. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 08 Jun 2026.