Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH) Daily/Weekly Backtest Results

Signal:                  
                [ What are these? | Switch to TXRH's monthly backtests ]
Fixed profit target:               -or-  
Show signal scores:           Threshold:         [ What are these scores? ]
Expectancy: 11.08%.   Win rate: 100%.   Sharpe Ratio: 1.938.   Maximum drawdown: -30.02% on 18 March 2020.
Mean CAGR: 204.4%. Time in market: 311 days.   Hypothetical return: $1000 would be worth $1922.41 on 31 October 2023.
Key: change_history : profitable trade change_history : breakeven trade (minimal loss after 2 years) change_history : losing trade (not profitable in a 2 year timeframe)


*Transaction costs, taxes and dividends are excluded from these calculations. Past performance may not necessarily be a reliable guide to future performance.

Calculations for Texas Roadhouse

Expectancy is the percentage profit or loss you would expect to make on the next purchase of this stock with an entry point at the specified signal and profit target as set above. Given a large enough sample size, a positive expectancy indicates the trading strategy is likely to be profitable.

Expectancy calculation for 7 signal(s) occurring before 02 June 2024 for a 7.5% profit target: (100% * 11.08%) + (0% * 0%) - (0% * 0%) = 11.08%.
Wins: 7 Breakevens: 0 Losses: 0

To even out CAGR calculations, large individual returns from particularly quick trades have been capped at 300%.

The Sharpe Ratio calculation assumes a risk free return rate of 2% per calendar year. Ideally the ratio should be a positive number. A higher positive number indicates the strategy has a more attractive risk adjusted rate of return for this particular buy signal and stock over the chart's timeframe.

Texas Roadhouse Analysis

Market sector: Consumer Discretionary.

External links: Seeking Alpha Research, Zacks Research.

These links may show useful information about why a stock's price has fallen significantly.

 

52 Week Low Backtest Summary (Fixed Profits System)

This table summarises how profitable it would have been to have bought this stock at each 52 week low entry signal. Hover over the icons to see more details of the particular trade, including the maximum percentage drawdown and how long it took to reach the desired percentage profit.

Key:   disabled_by_default = profit point not achieved. select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR above 15%.
select_check_box = profit point achieved with CAGR of between 5% and 15%. select_check_box = profit point achieved but CAGR was less than 5%.

Signal Date and Score Buy Signal Price Performance (mouseover for details)
5% 6% 7.5% 10% 20%
27 April 2026  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.581  factory0.376   52 Week Low $ 158.76 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt schedule
13 October 2023  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.936  factory0.753   52 Week Low $ 91.33 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
19 May 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.978  factory0.922   52 Week Low $ 71.59 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
07 March 2022  bubble_chart   LOW   smart_toy0.981  factory0.602   52 Week Low $ 77.46 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
11 March 2020   HIGH   smart_toy0.985  factory0.854   52 Week Low $ 44.78 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt
17 October 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.844  factory0.62   52 Week Low $ 48.04 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_boltelectric_bolt
15 August 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.806  factory0.862   52 Week Low $ 49.68 select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_boltelectric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt
30 April 2019   LOW   smart_toy0.424  factory0.562   52 Week Low $ 53.24 select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box electric_bolt select_check_box select_check_box select_check_box electric_bolt

 

The data for Texas Roadhouse Inc (exchange: XNAS symbol: TXRH) was last updated 10 Jun 2026 04:58. Data for this stock is available from 01 Jun 2016 - 09 Jun 2026.